THINKING

Ideas for a more complex world.

Essays on judgement, conviction, uncertainty and the people behind investment decisions.

Rebecca Lewis Rebecca Lewis

AI and the Wall of Worry

AI is lowering the cost of starting. Building a durable business still demands distribution, trust and execution.

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Rebecca Lewis Rebecca Lewis

Expectation is the new volatility

AI is compressing the distance between hypothesis and price. The challenge is telling lasting change from a louder narrative.

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Rebecca Lewis Rebecca Lewis

How Conviction Travels

More information does not create conviction. Understanding has to travel from the investment professional to the client.

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Rebecca Lewis Rebecca Lewis

The feeling is a forecast

Emotion is already part of the decision. The work is learning to name it precisely and distinguish signal from fatigue.

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Rebecca Lewis Rebecca Lewis

What to take credit for

Outcomes owe much to the sea. Preparation, discipline and the depth of the lines are the parts we can choose.

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Rebecca Lewis Rebecca Lewis

The discipline of not knowing

On uncertainty, intellectual humility and the discipline of making decisions without pretending to know the future.

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